

The One Metric That Matters, North Carolina '22, GOP Danger Zone
Mar 26, 2021
25:35
First, Joe and Alex talk about presidential approval rating, and how it's a key metric that can indicate what will happen in 2022, and whether the Democrats can actually implement the agenda they want. Thanks to Perry Bacon from 538 for inspiring us on this topic (see article link below).
Then, the GOP is in serious danger of its constituency being replaced through demographic changes.
Articles referenced in this episode:
@perrybaconjr on approval rating: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-democrats-in-congress-need-bidens-approval-rating-to-stay-in-the-mid-50s/
@RonBrownstein on demographic changes: https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/23/politics/voting-rights-republicans-bills-demographics/index.html
NC exit poll data from WP: https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2020/exit-polls/north-carolina-exit-polls/
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