2025 Masters Golf Picks, Bets, Predictions — Player by Player Preview | $6K In Giveaways
Apr 4, 2025
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In this episode, golf analyst Matt Gannon shares his expertise on the upcoming Masters tournament. He provides a detailed analysis of top players like Scotty Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, discussing their current form, betting odds, and strategies for success. The impact of LIV players on the PGA landscape is also explored. Exciting giveaways, including a trip to the Canadian Open, add to the allure. Gannon emphasizes the importance of recent performances and course conditions, equipping listeners with valuable insights for their betting strategies.
Scotty Scheffler remains a top contender despite recent struggles, raising questions about his ability to secure consecutive Masters victories.
Rory McIlroy, despite his historical significance at Augusta, faces skepticism regarding his current form and betting potential due to past disappointments.
Jon Rahm's consistent performance positions him as a value pick for bettors, with strong potential for a major championship victory soon.
Emerging talents like Ludvig Aberg and Akshay Bhatia present exciting potential dark horses, highlighting opportunities for value bets amidst veteran unpredictability.
Deep dives
Masters Coverage Introduction
The podcast highlights the ongoing Masters coverage, emphasizing a player-by-player breakdown of the field. The hosts encourage listeners to use time codes to navigate to specific players of interest, underscoring the accessibility of detailed analysis. The conversation transitions to betting strategies, where one of the hosts advocates for excluding certain players, particularly those from the LIV Golf tour, claiming that it simplifies decision-making despite their potential competitiveness. The discussion aims to provide insights for both casual fans and serious bettors.
Scotty Scheffler's Current Form
Scotty Scheffler enters the Masters as a co-favorite with odds around +420, despite recent performances that have raised concerns. Having won two of the past three Masters, his recent finishes, including a top-25 at the recent Houston tournament, present a conundrum since he hasn't won since Christmas. While he boasts a strong historical trend line with multiple top finishes, his ongoing struggles with specific aspects of his game—especially with his iron shots—are alarming. The analysis suggests that while Scheffler remains a top player, he may not achieve back-to-back Masters victories.
Rory McIlroy's Chances at Augusta
Rory McIlroy offers compelling odds of approximately +700 but carries the weight of expectations surrounding his performance at Augusta. With significant past results and his competitive history at the Masters, there's debate over whether his current form justifies these odds. The hosts highlight everyone's desire to see him win for the historic achievement of completing his Grand Slam. Nevertheless, they remain skeptical about placing bets on him due to previous disappointments, indicating a cautious approach mixed with hope.
Jon Rahm's Value and Odds
Jon Rahm's odds have dropped to around +1500, making him an attractive choice for bettors looking for value at the Masters. His consistency, showcased by frequent top finishes on the LIV Tour, places him among the top-tier players despite some missing the mark on LIV. Observations of his past performances, combined with a strong belief among the hosts that Rahm will eventually claim another major championship, solidify his odds as potentially favorable. There is a consensus that Rahm's overall capabilities will likely yield a win in the near future, possibly at the Masters.
Ludwig Aberg's Emergence
Ludwig Aberg, often regarded as the next big thing, comes into the Masters with odds of approximately +1500 due to his impressive early career, including a solid Masters debut last year. Concerns linger regarding his short game, which may hinder his chances at Augusta. Discussions also touch on the impact of caddy experience on players at Augusta and Aberg's group, leading to speculation about how his recent performances might play into his success at the tournament. The impression is that Aberg has talent but may require smoother short game performance to navigate Augusta successfully.
Mastering the Art of Betting and Drafting
The conversation transitions to strategies surrounding betting and drafting players for the Masters, encompassing everything from odds fluctuations to player evaluation. Emphasis is laid on the importance of looking at past performances rather than simply going with recent trends or public opinions. The hosts stress patience in betting, as some odds are expected to drift after recent performances. Insightful input regarding how to approach betting strategies effectively during the Masters week encapsulates the overall sentiment that successful betting requires a clear game plan.
Potential Breakthrough Veterans
Veteran players like Patrick Reed and Jason Day are discussed regarding their potential impacts at the Masters. Reed, at +10000, carries good history at Augusta, suggesting he could make it to the weekend with a solid performance. In contrast, Jason Day, who has shown signs of life on the course and has past success at majors, could also make significant noise. The discussion highlights the need to consider experienced players like these when nearing a tournament where unpredictable outcomes are common.
Emerging Talents and Dark Horses
The podcast wraps up with mentions of emerging talents like Akshay Bhatia, who at +11000 presents good value based on recent form and past performances. The conversation touches on how younger players, despite their inexperience, might have less pressure compared to veterans, allowing them to take bold chances. Other up-and-coming golfers are noted as potential dark horses, with a discussion on how their recent play could impact predictions at Augusta. Attention is directed toward creating value bets on these lower-profile players, as they can deliver surprising dividends.
Pat Mayo and Matt Gannon go player-by-player for the 2025 Masters with Picks, Bets, and predictions, discussing trends, recent form, Injuries, LIV Players, Play or Fade and their favorite plays from each odds range.
1:23:27 Tony Finau/Sahith Theegala/Tom Kim/Wyndham Clark/Sungjae Im
1:25:29 Corey Conners/Sam Burns/Daniel Berger/Jason Day
1:26:51 Robert MacIntyre
1:28:48 Patrick Reed
1:30:49 Min Woo Lee
1:33:38 Akshay Bhatia
1:36:49 Sepp Straka
1:38:30 Michael Kim
1:40:22 Max Greyserman/Nicolai Hojgaard/Rasmus Hojgaard/Davis Thompson/Maverick McNealy
1:42:03 Adam Scott/Justin Rose
1:43:41 Sergio Garcia
1:46:24 Other Notable Players/Phil Mickelson
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