In Moscow's Shadows In Moscow's Shadows 224: In Helsinki's (and Kyiv's) Shadows
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Nov 16, 2025 The podcast dives into the complexities of European diplomacy with Russia, questioning whether it's time for direct talks with Putin. It examines Finland's readiness against a potential Russian invasion and discusses the significance of the Pokrovsk battlefield. The narrative shifts to Ukraine, highlighting the implications of the Midas corruption scandal and its coverage in Russian media. The exploration of how history shapes Finnish-Russian relations adds depth, along with insights into the militarization of education in Russia.
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Why Finland Is A Bad Target For Russia
- Russia is unlikely to invade Finland because it would provoke united and immediate resistance and draw in neighbouring allies like Sweden.
- NATO strengthens when tested, as Finland and Sweden joined after 2022, so invasion would be counterproductive for Moscow.
Europe Must Build A Coordinated Russia Channel
- Europe should establish its own coordinated channel to talk to Russia rather than leaving negotiations to external actors.
- Begin by defining a collective European vision and uses structures like an E3 dialogue to present offers and escalation thresholds to Moscow.
Lavrov's Silence Likely Health, Not Purge
- Sergei Lavrov's absence likely reflects illness or Kremlin discretion rather than political ousting or a fall from favour.
- The Kremlin hides health issues among senior septuagenarians to avoid exposing leadership infirmities.
