Emergency Episode — OPERATION NORTHERN ARROWS — with Nadav Eyal
Sep 24, 2024
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Nadav Eyal, a prominent Israeli journalist and Yediiot columnist, dives deep into the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. He discusses recent military actions and their implications, shedding light on the challenges of achieving a lasting peace. Eyal analyzes the failure of intelligence leading up to the current tensions and the complex dynamics of regional security. He also critiques international responses, particularly UN Security Council resolution 1701, questioning their effectiveness in curbing Hezbollah's influence and the realities on the ground.
The Israeli military's recent operations have drastically weakened Hezbollah's missile capabilities, showcasing an unprecedented tactical success.
There is a pressing need for diplomatic engagement to prevent further escalations in the conflict with Hezbollah amid military successes.
Deep dives
Israeli Tactical Success Against Hezbollah
Recent military operations have significantly reduced Hezbollah's capacity to strike Israel, notably disabling a large portion of its missile inventories. In a detailed aerial campaign, the Israeli Air Force targeted approximately 1,600 locations, predominantly those housing missile stockpiles, thereby exhibiting strategic success reminiscent of past military engagements. This rapid escalation in tactics reflects a shift in Israeli military confidence, as officials believe they have achieved more in six hours than in a month regarding tactical gains against Hezbollah. Consequently, this has raised questions about Hezbollah's future offensive capabilities and its responses to ongoing Israeli military actions.
Hezbollah's Strategic Vulnerabilities
Hezbollah's operational plans for an invasion into northern Israel, particularly the Galilee, have been compromised by Israeli military actions, especially the success of the elite Raduan force's neutralization. This elite group was key to Hezbollah's strategy, and its disruption has weakened their capacity to coordinate significant assaults on Israeli territory. Moreover, the Israeli intelligence operations that provided the necessary data for these strikes have exposed Hezbollah to potential vulnerabilities and subsequent retaliation. The Israeli Defense Force remains vigilant, asserting that while Hezbollah can still launch attacks, their strategic effectiveness has been severely curtailed.
Diplomatic Efforts and Future Uncertainties
Despite the evident military successes, Israeli officials express concern over the long-term implications of continued conflict with Hezbollah. There's a pressing urgency for diplomatic engagement to prevent further escalation, yet there remains skepticism regarding Hezbollah's willingness to de-escalate or accept perceived losses in the current conflict. The Israeli political leadership appears to tolerate a limited buffer as a compromise; however, the military asserts that more substantial withdrawals are essential for real security. As these dynamics unfold, the potential for further violence looms large, emphasizing the necessity for strategic negotiations to address both regional and operational threats.
UPCOMING LIVE EVENTS: September 24 — Join us for the first major live recording of Call Me Back, held at the Streicker Center, featuring Amir Tibon. To register, please go to: streicker.nyc/events/tibon-senor
TODAY'S EPISODE: To help us better understand the escalating war between Israel and Hezbollah, Nadav Eyal joined us for an emergency episode of the podcast.
NADAV EYAL is a columnist for Yediiot. He is one of Israel’s leading journalists. Eyal has been covering Middle-Eastern and international politics for the last two decades for Israeli radio, print and television news.
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