The ALP announced on Friday (29/3/19) that it will ban negative gearing from 1 January 2020 if it wins the election next month. I wrote an
article for The Australian newspaper over the weekend which addresses the steps property investors can take to fortify their investments (which I list below). A number of people have asked me whether they should invest in property prior to 1 January 2020. I discuss this too.
We still have a long way to go
Of course, the ALP has to win the election before it can ban negative gearing. I acknowledge that virtually every poll predicts an ALP victory. But John Howard didn’t poll very well leading up to his 1996 election win. And who would have thought Mr Trump would become President of the USA! So, anything can happen.
Secondly, it will depend on how strong their win is and whether they have a large majority or not. If it’s a tight win, they may have to negotiate with minor parties to get its law enacted and, as a result, water down its change to negative gearing e.g. limit it rather than an outright ban.
And finally, we have not seen the draft legislation yet. All the ALP has said is they will be negative gearing if people invest in established property or shares after 1 January 2020. Back in 1985 when the Hawke government banned negative gearing, people used unit trusts to invest in property. They borrowed to buy the units and as such were able to continue to negatively gear the property. So, there could be workarounds.
What should (existing) property investors consider doing?
There is a risk that the ban on negative gearing will put further downward pressure on property values in 2020. Owning an investment property in a falling market can be a double-whammy. Not only is your asset value falling, but you have to put your hand in your pocket each month to contribute towards the holding costs (if the net rental income isn’t enough to meet the loan repayments). Here are some of the steps you can consider taking:
1. Reduce holding costs – fix your interest rate
Many lenders are offering 3 years fixed rates at levels below variable interest rates, particularly if your loan repayments are structured as interest only. This may help reduce the monthly holding costs and you could still be bet
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