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The Remnant with Jonah Goldberg
Hedging Hezbollah
Oct 24, 2024
Kenneth Pollack, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Middle East expert, joins to unpack the complexities of the Iran-Israel conflict. He argues that fears of total war are exaggerated, provoking Jonah's worst-case scenarios. They explore Hezbollah's waning influence and the implications of Iran's nuclear ambitions. Pollack emphasizes the nuanced role of the U.S. in regional deterrence while examining the challenges of achieving peace amidst evolving tensions. The conversation blends insightful analysis with a touch of humor.
01:24:50
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Quick takeaways
- The podcast argues that fears of an all-out war between Israel and Iran are exaggerated due to their military limitations.
- Hezbollah's effectiveness as Iran's ally has diminished significantly after heavy Israeli military operations targeting its capabilities and morale.
Deep dives
The Existing Conflict Between Israel and Iran
The discussion highlights that the conflict between Iran and Israel is not hypothetical; it is an ongoing war that has escalated over time. The speaker argues that the fears of an all-out war may be overblown, as both countries lack the military capacity to severely damage one another — Israel has advanced capabilities but a limited military, while Iran's military is deemed ineffective. The historical context shows that despite past threats, the actual military engagements have been more restrained, with both sides unable to launch widespread attacks due to geographical distances and internal limitations. For instance, the speaker makes it clear that even with missile attacks from Iran, Israel's military response remains measured, indicating a controlled escalation rather than an outright war.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode