Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast 2025 NFL Week 11 Bets!
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Nov 11, 2025 Dive into Week 11 NFL betting with insightful picks and analysis! Highlights include a heated debate on the Jets-Patriots matchup, where both experts favor New England for a first-half win. They also discuss the potential impacts of injuries, like CJ Stroud's, and how line movements create unique betting opportunities. Don't miss their takes on total points for the Bucs-Bills game, and the strategy behind teasing the Ravens against the Browns. Plus, hear their predictions for every exciting match-up of the week!
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Math Behind Taking A Knee
- Taking a knee near the goal line reduces touchdown probability slightly but can remove clock for opponent drives.
- Steve Fezzik quantifies a ~10% touchdown probability drop versus large time-control gains for the defense.
Doubling Up After QB News
- Ross recounts taking both sides of the Jaguars-Texans teaser after CJ Stroud was ruled out.
- The strategy paid off and nearly burned on a late two-point conversion pick-six scenario.
Exploit Pick'em Line Movement
- When a game flips to pick'em or short favorite, consider playing both sides as separate teaser legs.
- Ross and Steve described taking both Jaguars and Texans in separate teaser legs after line movement.