Simply Bitcoin Why Bitcoin BOOMS in October! (The Pattern No One Talks About) | Beyond Bitcoin
Oct 7, 2025
September often sees Bitcoin struggle, but October has a historical pattern of price surges! Experts, including Michael Saylor, share insights into the seasonality of Bitcoin and when it's most advantageous to buy. The discussion highlights how catalysts and memes can create positive momentum. Additionally, the impact of OG holders adjusting their portfolios is examined. While October shows promise, caution is advised on relying solely on patterns; preparation is key for navigating market fluctuations.
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October's Recurrent Strength
- Historical data shows September is weak while October tends to rally strongly for Bitcoin.
- From 2010–2024 October finished higher 11 of 15 years with a median +15.4% return.
September's Consistent Softness
- September often posts negative median returns and is historically Bitcoin's weakest month.
- The median September return across the sample was negative 3.5% and only 7 of 15 years finished higher.
Why The Sep→Oct Pattern May Exist
- Multiple structural reasons likely drive the Sep→Oct pattern, including seasonality, derivatives expiries, tax moves, macro calendar, and clustered catalysts.
- These factors create a recurring reset in late September followed by cleaner buy programs in October.