#226 China is Preparing for War in the Americas | Joseph Humire
Nov 6, 2023
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Joseph Humire, the Executive director of the DC-based think tank Center for a Secure Free Society, talks about China's plan for Latin America, their involvement in the drug trade and their economic influence in the region. The podcast also explores how China collaborates with Russia and Iran, uses migration as a tool for instability, and discusses China's increasing presence in South America, particularly in Colombia.
China is strategically preparing for war in the Americas by creating alliances, building infrastructure, and exploiting drug trade networks.
China's port infrastructure projects in Latin America are a cause for concern, as they provide strategic locations for Chinese naval assets and could disrupt regional security.
China leverages mass migration in Latin America to undermine US influence, using Venezuela's collapse and migration crisis as a means to expand its control and establish closer ties with aligned regimes.
Deep dives
China's Strategy in Latin America
China has strategically gained economic influence in Latin America as part of its global ambitions. It sees Latin America as a way to counterbalance the United States and expand its sphere of influence in the Global South. China's encroachment into Latin America began in the early 21st century, with an initial focus on economic investments and trade. They took advantage of US neglect and the financial crisis of 2008 to gain a foothold in the Inter-American Development Bank. China's strategy involves using the bank to co-finance major projects in the region, coupled with the Export-Import Bank of China. Venezuela has been a key target for China, receiving significant credits and loans, effectively buying the country. China's influence in Latin America also extends to military support, satellite tracking stations, and cooperation with organized crime networks, such as cartels involved in drug trafficking. Overall, China's economic and military presence in Latin America poses a threat to US interests and regional stability.
China's Port Infrastructure Projects
China's strategic port infrastructure projects in Latin America are a cause for concern. They already have over 40 port projects in the region, including a major port in Peru and potential ports in Honduras and El Salvador. These projects provide China with access to both the Pacific and the Atlantic, giving them the ability to maintain a fleet in two strategic locations. Peru's port will be the largest in the Pacific, enabling China to move their naval assets into the region. In Central America, the ports in Honduras and El Salvador could further solidify China's presence and control in the Pacific. These ports are key indicators of China's overall Indo-Pacific strategy, as they provide a destination for their naval assets and potentially support future military operations. Such developments could have serious implications for regional security and the balance of power.
The Weaponization of Migration and China's Role
China has been leveraging mass migration in Latin America to advance its interests and undermine US influence in the region. Venezuela's collapse and the resulting mass migration have been instrumental in this strategy. By directing migration northward, China has exploited the vulnerabilities created by Venezuela's crisis and used it as a means to insert its operatives into migration networks. This tactic allows China to capitalize on the border crisis and dismantle the sovereign borders of targeted countries. Migration has also served as a way for China to establish closer ties with regimes aligned with its interests, such as Colombia and El Salvador. Additionally, China's involvement with organized crime networks and its use of coerced migration have further enabled its expansion in the region. By weaponizing migration, China is effectively gaining influence and control in Latin America, bringing the confrontation with China to America's doorstep.
China's strategy to blend illicit and formal economies
China's strategy is to blend illicit and formal economies, creating a seamless transition between the two. This is evident in countries like Venezuela where the cocaine industry is incorporated into the formal GDP, blurring the lines between legitimate and criminal activities. By taking control of territories and establishing sovereignty, China aims to replicate this model on an international level. The acquisition of Venezuela, with its strategic geographical location and natural resources, has been a game-changer for China. If China conquers Taiwan, they will also gain control of the semiconductor industry, further advancing their trafficking and illicit activities.
China's predatory and subversive tactics in Latin America
China employs predatory tactics in Latin America, taking advantage of corrupt officials, economic coercion, and contracts with hidden clauses to control and exploit the region. They strategically target critical elements in each country's territory, such as space stations, ports, and natural resources, to serve their long-term military and economic ambitions. Through the use of soft power, cultural connections, and alternative payment systems, China seeks to undermine the influence of the United States and other democratic countries in the region. To push back on Chinese influence, a renewed strategic approach, inspired by the Monroe Doctrine, is necessary, focusing on prioritizing Latin America and reinforcing sovereignty.
China has been preparing for war in the Americas by creating a network of authoritarian states and building infrastructure that could be used for civilian and military purposes. In this episode of China Unscripted, we talk about China's plan for Latin America, how the Chinese Communist Party is behind the drug trade that's fueling America's opioid epidemic, and how Chinese bankers are bankrolling the drug trade. Joining us in this episode is Joseph Humire, the executive director of the DC-based think tank Center for a Secure Free Society and a visiting fellow at the Heritage Foundation.
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