Moments of crisis often undervalue great companies, creating investment opportunities.
Investment in aerospace OEMs and component suppliers can yield growth despite macro scenarios.
Deep dives
Art of Stock Picking: Seeing Things Differently and Going Against the Crowd
Diana Wagner, an experienced portfolio manager, discusses the art of stock picking, emphasizing the importance of seeing things differently and being willing to go against the crowd. She shares examples of finding opportunities in the aftermath of the banking crisis and in tech and healthcare innovation. Wagner believes that moments of crisis often lead to the undervaluation of great companies, providing investment opportunities. Additionally, she highlights the impact of tightening financial conditions on funding availability and how it favors larger, stronger companies while potentially challenging small and medium-sized businesses.
Investment Themes: Commercial Aerospace OEMs and AI
Wagner focuses on two investment themes, starting with commercial aerospace OEMs and component suppliers. She notes that the aerospace industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, making aircraft manufacturers likely to grow despite macro scenarios. Furthermore, she sees potential for higher margins in component suppliers due to cost reductions during recent lockdowns. Wagner also discusses the transformative power of AI and its potential to penetrate every industry. She identifies investment opportunities in semiconductor manufacturers producing AI-powered chips and suppliers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, citing their pivotal role in AI's future development.
Investment Approach: Building a Balanced Portfolio and Assessing Management
Wagner shares her investment approach, which involves building a balanced portfolio that does not heavily rely on macro factors. She emphasizes the importance of stock selection and identifies all-weather compounders as key holdings in her portfolio. Dividends play a significant role, and she highlights the long-term impact of dividends on market returns. Moreover, Wagner discusses her affinity for turnarounds and cheap stocks with catalysts. She also emphasizes the importance of assessing management teams over time, particularly their ability to manage expectations, make sound capital allocation decisions, and learn from mistakes.
Capital Group portfolio manager Diana Wagner shares her views on finding opportunities in the aftermath of the banking crisis and in the “picks and shovels” of AI, as well as why she believes investment management is a truth-seeking business. Related resources: 10 investment themes for 2023
This content is published by Capital Client Group, Inc.
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