Barron's Live Talking Markets with Trivariate's Adam Parker
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Apr 7, 2025 Adam Parker, CEO of Trivariate Research and a statistics PhD holder, shares insights on the current financial market landscape. He discusses the challenges of predicting market impacts amid tariff news and bearish sentiment. The conversation dives into the implications of Federal Reserve rate cuts, offering historical perspectives. Parker also analyzes upcoming bank earnings and the automotive sector, specifically CarMax's potential amidst economic risks. He highlights a shift to lower-risk sectors like healthcare and technology while examining precious metals' market trends.
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Market Outlook
- Adam Parker was somewhat bearish at the start of the year, forecasting a first-half correction.
- He believes the worst tariff news may be priced in, but acknowledges the high uncertainty.
Investment Strategy in a Potential Recession
- Recession odds have risen due to recent market events.
- Consider focusing on secular growth stocks that have been significantly impacted.
MAG-7 Stock Outlook
- Be cautious about MAG-7 stocks due to increased capital spending and potential margin declines.
- If S&P 500 focused, consider reducing MAG-7 holdings to reflect their market cap percentage.