The podcast delves into Japan's economic rise and fall in the 1980s, from being a powerhouse to a stagnant economy. It explores the reasons behind Japan's lost decades and the impact of recent interest rate changes. The episode discusses how Japan's predicament reshaped our understanding of economic downturns and highlights the challenges and solutions for Japan's future growth.
Japan's economic miracle in the 1980s led to a severe crash in the early 90s, highlighting the vulnerability of even advanced economies.
Japan's struggle with a liquidity trap and unconventional economic measures like forward guidance and quantitative easing to combat economic stagnation.
Deep dives
The Rise and Fall of Japan's Economy in the 1980s
Japan experienced a period of economic dominance in the 1980s, becoming the world's second-largest economy after the US. Japanese companies made significant acquisitions like Sony purchasing Columbia Pictures and Mitsubishi owning Rockefeller Center. However, this economic prosperity was short-lived as Japan faced a severe economic downturn.
The Impact of the Bubble Burst and Recession
The late 80s bubble in Japan centered on stocks and real estate, eventually leading to a severe crash in the early 90s. The burst bubble caused a recession, and Japan implemented traditional economic measures to stimulate demand. Despite these efforts, a banking crisis emerged in 1997 due to lenient bank practices, leading to a prolonged economic stagnation.
Japan's Struggle with a Liquidity Trap and Economic Recovery Efforts
Japan faced a unique challenge as it entered a liquidity trap where traditional economic tools like interest rate cuts proved ineffective. Economists, including Paul Krugman, highlighted the rare nature of this situation. Japan implemented unconventional measures such as forward guidance and quantitative easing. These efforts, along with a focus on supply-side issues, like productivity and innovation, aim to revitalize Japan's economy.
Last month, Japan's central bank raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years. That is a really big deal, because it means that one of the spookiest stories in modern economics might finally have an ending.
Back in the 1980s, Japan performed something of an economic miracle. It transformed itself into the number two economy in the world. From Walkmans to Toyotas, the U.S. was awash in Japanese imports. And Japanese companies went on a spending spree. Sony bought up Columbia Pictures. Mitsubishi became the new majority owners of Rockefeller Center.
But in the early 1990s, it all came to a sudden halt. Japan went from being one of the fastest growing countries in the world to one of the slowest. And this economic stagnation went on and on and on. For decades.
On this episode, the unnerving story of Japan's Lost Decades: How did one of the most advanced economies in the world just fall down one day — and not be able to get up? Japan's predicament changed our understanding of what can go wrong in a modern economy. And gave us some new tools to try and deal with it.
This episode was hosted by Jeff Guo. It was produced by Emma Peaslee and engineered by Cena Loffredo. It was edited by Molly Messick. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money's executive producer.