Can Bitcoin Replace Government-Issued Money? Saifedean Ammous debates George Selgin
Oct 4, 2019
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Economist Saifedean Ammous and George Selgin, director of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute, debate whether Bitcoin can replace government-issued money. They discuss the challenges Bitcoin faces, such as competing with an incumbent currency and the safety of transacting with Bitcoin. They also explore the vulnerabilities and challenges of Bitcoin, including hacking and value volatility, and compare Bitcoin's transaction costs to traditional methods. Additionally, they discuss the potential impact of the gold standard and the distinction between medium of exchange and means of payment.
Bitcoin's potential as a medium of exchange is debated, with Saifedean arguing for its functionality and resistance to government control, while George questions its feasibility and limitations.
Both Saifedean and George discuss Bitcoin's hardness, with Saifedean emphasizing its advantages as an alternative to central banks and George highlighting its drawbacks as a medium of exchange.
Saifedean argues that Bitcoin can compete with established currencies and central banking systems, while George believes that its limitations and transaction costs make it unlikely to replace incumbent currencies.
Deep dives
Bitcoin's Suitability as a Medium of Exchange
Bitcoin's potential as a medium of exchange is debated. Safeen argues that Bitcoin is already working as a functional alternative to central banks, providing instant and final settlement of transactions. He emphasizes the advantages of hardness and the ability to resist government capture. He believes that as the value and liquidity of Bitcoin increase, the opportunities for trade and acceptance will grow. On the other hand, George questions the feasibility of Bitcoin transactions being cheap and speedy. He argues that the need for verification and confirmations make transactions costly and time-consuming. He also highlights drawbacks such as vulnerability to hacking, value volatility, and high transaction costs. George maintains that Bitcoin is unlikely to become widely accepted due to these limitations.
The Importance of Bitcoin's Hardness
Both Safeen and George discuss the significance of Bitcoin's hardness. Safeen asserts that Bitcoin's hardness and resistance to government control make it an attractive alternative to central banks. He argues that people prefer Bitcoin as a store of value due to its limited supply and the inflationary nature of fiat currencies. George acknowledges Bitcoin's hardness but argues that its disadvantages, such as high transaction costs and value volatility, outweigh its attractiveness as a medium of exchange.
Comparing Bitcoin to Established Currencies
Safeen argues that Bitcoin can compete with established currencies and central banking systems. He contends that Bitcoin's growth, value, and potential to resist government capture make it a viable alternative. George questions Bitcoin's ability to replace incumbent currencies, emphasizing the transaction costs and limitations. He believes that established fiat currencies still hold advantages and suggests other prospective cryptocurrencies as potential competitors.
The Role of Supply and Demand in Bitcoin's Success
Safeen argues that Bitcoin's growing demand as a store of value and the continuous inflation of government money contribute to its potential success. He believes the increasing cash balances and opportunities for trade will drive the acceptance of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange. George agrees that supply and demand are important but questions whether Bitcoin's advantages and limited acceptance are sufficient to overcome the established networks and convenience of existing fiat currencies.
Bitcoin as a Store of Value
Bitcoin is seen as a store of value due to restrictions on free market money. Real estate, stocks, and art are used as alternative stores of value. Under the gold standard, people didn't use houses as a store of value.
Bitcoin's Viability as a Medium of Exchange
Bitcoin's scalability and transaction costs are discussed. While Bitcoin may require more energy and become more expensive, it can handle more transactions and become cheaper per transaction over time. Visa and PayPal are seen as competitors to Bitcoin's lightning network for mass consumer payments.
"Bitcoin is poorly suited to the purpose of becoming any nation's main medium of exchange."
That was the topic of a public debate hosted by the Soho Forum in New York City on August 12, 2019. It featured George Selgin, director of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute, and economist Saifedean Ammous, author of The Bitcoin Standard: The Decentralized Alternative to Central Banking (2018). Soho Forum Director Gene Epstein moderated.
Welcome to the audio podcasting home of Saifedean Ammous and The Bitcoin Standard.When a pseudonymous programmer introduced “a new electronic cash system that's fully peer-to-peer, with no trusted third party” to a small Online mailing list in 2008, very few paid attention. Ten years later, and against all odds, this upstart autonomous decentralized software offers an unstoppable and globally-accessible hard money alternative to modern central banks. The Bitcoin Standard analyzes the historical context to the rise of bitcoin, the economic properties that have allowed it to grow quickly, and its likely economic, political, and social implications. Ammous' firm grasp of the technological possibilities as well as the historical realities of monetary evolution provides for a fascinating exploration of the ramifications of voluntary free market money. As it challenges the most sacred of government monopolies, bitcoin shifts the pendulum of sovereignty away from governments in favor of individuals, offering us the tantalizing possibility of a world where money is fully extricated from politics and unrestrained by borders.