Experts from Asia share their insights on how the upcoming U.S. election will impact relations in the region. They delve into India's evolving ties with the U.S. and discuss the complexities of U.S.-China relations. Perspectives from Japan highlight concerns over Trump's unpredictability versus a potential Harris administration. The dynamics between Australia and the U.S. are examined, particularly regarding Southeast Asia's quest for autonomy. Additionally, contrasting views on Trump and Harris among the Chinese population reveal shifting sentiments across Asia.
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Quick takeaways
India views the U.S. election as crucial for global economic stability and security, emphasizing the need for strong U.S. leadership.
China calls for a reset in U.S.-China relations, advocating for cooperation over competition to enhance regional security and trade.
Deep dives
India's Perspective on U.S. Leadership
India emphasizes the importance of a strong United States that actively promotes global peace and security in the upcoming election. The transformation of the India-U.S. relationship over the past two decades showcases a significant shift from estranged to engaged democracies, highlighting cooperation in various domains including trade and defense. India is particularly concerned about the effects of U.S. foreign policy on economic stability, noting that a solid U.S. economy is crucial for managing global inflation and minimizing economic turmoil. Moreover, India seeks a U.S. commitment to address international conflicts, asserting that actions taken by the U.S. in Europe and the Middle East have far-reaching consequences for the developing world.
China's Call for Better Understanding
China desires a more accurate understanding of its motivations from the next U.S. administration, emphasizing a need for cooperation over competition. Recent statements from Chinese leaders indicate that they perceive U.S. assumptions about China as flawed and call for a reset in relations to prevent further deterioration. Such a change is seen as critical to address regional security issues and enhance trade relations. China hopes for a future where the U.S. aligns with its interests on global issues, particularly concerning geopolitical issues and economic collaboration.
Japan's Concerns Over Leadership Stability
Japan remains apprehensive about the potential implications of a Trump presidency, primarily fearing that a deal between the U.S. and rivals like China could undermine its security interests. The favorable past relations between Prime Minister Abe and Trump are acknowledged, but Japan recognizes the unpredictable outcomes of Trump's foreign policy. Conversely, a potential Harris administration is expected to maintain foreign policy consistency, addressing Japanese concerns over regional security and trade. Japan hopes for a leadership that prioritizes long-term alliances rather than transactional diplomacy that could jeopardize its security.
Australia and Southeast Asia's Economic Outlook
Australia is closely monitoring the U.S. election, primarily concerned about the U.S.'s role as a stabilizing force in the Indo-Pacific region. Recent trends indicate a growing polarization in the U.S. that could impact its international commitments, raising concerns in Australia about the security dynamics in Southeast Asia. Southeast Asian nations are particularly focused on economic opportunities stemming from U.S. leadership, seeking partnerships that foster growth amid rising inequality. Countries in the region are inclined towards a more nuanced approach where U.S. actions are evaluated in terms of their direct impact on local interests, rather than being forced to choose sides.
With the U.S. heading to the polls in November, Asia, like the rest of the world, will be following the election outcome closely. While all U.S. elections are consequential for the world, this one seems especially so, with the two candidates charting divergent paths for U..S policy on issues such as global security, trade and climate change.
Hear from Asia Society’s global network of experts from Melbourne, Delhi, Hong Kong and Tokyo to explore how Asian countries perceive the U.S. role in Asia and what bearing the election will have on the region’s security and prosperity.
Recorded on September 11, 2024, at an event organized by the Asia Society Centers in Australia, India, Hong Kong, and Japan. Watch the full video here.
STATE OF ASIA brings you engaging conversations with leading minds on the issues that shape Asia and affect us all.
- STATE OF ASIA is a podcast from Asia Society Switzerland. Season 7, episode 2 - Published: September 17, 2024 Host, editor/producer: Remko Tanis, Programs and Editorial Manager, Asia Society Switzerland
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