#1420 Phil Rosen & Anthony Pompliano | The Investment Case For Bitcoin
Oct 10, 2024
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Phil Rosen, Co-Founder of Opening Bell Daily, and Anthony Pompliano, renowned author and CEO, dive into why Bitcoin is the standout asset of 2024. They discuss its volatility and potential as a digital savings tool. The pair also reflect on the mystery of Satoshi Nakamoto and recent claims about his identity, while highlighting Bitcoin's transformative effects on personal finance and the global economy. Additionally, they explore how youth-driven innovation shaped Bitcoin's inception and the broader financial landscape.
Bitcoin has proven to be the best performing asset in 2024, returning around 50% despite inherent volatility shaped by market dynamics.
Investors are increasingly treating Bitcoin as a digital savings account to preserve wealth against inflation rather than as a speculative investment.
Deep dives
Bitcoin as the Best Performing Asset
Bitcoin has emerged as the best performing asset in 2024, reportedly returning around 50%, significantly outperforming traditional financial benchmarks like the S&P 500. However, this performance comes with inherent volatility; despite hitting a peak around $70,000 earlier in the year, it has seen a drop and sustained a sideways trend for several months. This volatility is often exacerbated by factors such as monetary policy changes and investor sentiment, leading to drastic fluctuations that can be hard for traditional investors to reconcile. Historical trends, particularly the four-year halving cycles, suggest that Bitcoin may once again follow an upward trajectory as certain market conditions align toward the year's end, potentially driving the prices higher.
The Illusion of Bitcoin's Volatility
Despite the significant volatility of Bitcoin, many long-term holders are not actively trading their assets, with 65% of Bitcoin remaining untouched over the past year. This phenomenon results in a limited supply available for trading, which can thus amplify price movements in response to changes in demand. For example, if only a small fraction of Bitcoin is actively traded, high demand can cause rapid price increases. This reflects a market structure that can create substantial and exaggerated price fluctuations, demonstrating that the volatility is more a function of market dynamics than a reflection of Bitcoin's fundamentals.
Investment Strategy: Bitcoin as a Savings Account
Investors are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a digital savings account rather than a traditional investment vehicle, with many shifting their financial strategies to accommodate this perspective. Rather than spending Bitcoin, the suggestion is to treat it as an asset that preserves and grows purchasing power over time. This view positions Bitcoin favorably in the context of a declining dollar, making it appealing for individuals seeking to secure their wealth against inflation. Much like setting aside cash for emergencies, allocating funds into Bitcoin could significantly increase financial resilience and cater to long-term savings goals.
Satoshi Nakamoto and the Mystery of Creation
The identity of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, remains one of the most intriguing mysteries in cryptocurrency, with recent media claims suggesting individuals like Peter Todd could be the key. The speculation around Satoshi focuses not only on their identity but also on the motivations for creating Bitcoin, with questions lingering about the potential implications for the technology and society. Delving into why Bitcoin was created and the nature of Satoshi's departure from the public eye may provide deeper insights into the philosophy behind Bitcoin's design. Understanding the potential historical context of digital currencies may offer crucial perspectives on Bitcoin's role in the future of financial systems.
Phil Rosen, the Co-Founder of Opening Bell Daily, and Anthony Pompliano, Author of ‘How To Live An Extraordinary Life’ and CEO of Professional Capital Management, discuss everything about bitcoin, why it’s the best performing asset so far in 2024, volatility, bitcoin as a savings account, the global impact of bitcoin being successful, and the recent documentary about Satoshi.
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Pomp writes a daily letter to over 265,000+ investors about business, technology, and finance. He breaks down complex topics into easy-to-understand language while sharing opinions on various aspects of each industry. You can subscribe at https://pomp.substack.com/