Bloomberg Surveillance Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: George Bory & Ben Laidler
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Jul 14, 2025 Economic factors significantly shape market behaviors and investment strategies in tech and finance. The vulnerabilities in the European bond market impact U.S. Treasury yields, raising concerns for the stock market. A crucial 5% yield signal is examined amidst market volatility, creating a cautious outlook for corporate performance. Additionally, rising blending tariffs evoke historical parallels, prompting discussions on business growth strategies and tools to navigate these economic challenges.
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30-Year Yield Critical Threshold
- The 30-year Treasury yield could approach 5.5%.
- Crossing 5.25% might cause stock market anxiety and price adjustments.
Humility in Yield Forecasting
- Technicals make predicting 30-year bond yields above 5% difficult.
- Market participants must exercise humility due to rapid changes in yields, like those in French bonds.
U.S. Vulnerability to Tariffs
- U.S. faces worse economic impact from tariffs than the rest of the world.
- The U.S. has expensive currency and equity markets, unlike other economies with economic buffers.