

NBA Season-Long Player Prop Best Bets
Oct 8, 2025
This week, Joe Dellera, a hoops betting analyst from the Action Network, and Kyle Murray, a DFS expert, dive into sizzling NBA player prop bets for the upcoming season. They spotlight Kevin Durant's potential for 20+ PPG amid Houston's dynamics and Jalen Brown’s scoring upside with Boston's pace changes. Plus, they discuss intriguing longshots, including Mark Williams' rebounding and Herb Jones for steals leader. With insights on Victor Wembanyama and Cam Johnson's shooting impact, the duo offers a treasure trove of betting wisdom!
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Episode notes
Durant Is A High-Usage Value Play
- Kevin Durant projects as a high-usage scorer in Houston and can exceed his betting numbers despite age concerns.
- Kyle Murray's models put Durant near ~27.5 PPG, making 28+ at +270 attractive value.
Brown Gains From Tatum's Absence
- Jalen Brown stands to see a notable scoring uptick with Tatum out for much of the season.
- Joe Dellera highlights Boston's faster pace and Brown's historical jump without Tatum as the rationale for 28+ PPG bets.
Back Mark Williams For Rebounds
- Bet Mark Williams 10+ rebounds per game while minutes rise in Phoenix; DraftKings price (-110) feels market-inefficient.
- Kyle projects Williams at just over 11 RPG on a 28–29 minute role, making the 10+ line actionable.