Fantasy Flex

NFL Divisional Round Player Projections

Jan 14, 2026
In this episode, guest Sean Koerner, Director of Predictive Analytics at the Action Network, shares his sharp insights on NFL player projections. He and Chris Raybon highlight their top five picks for quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. They discuss the impact of injuries on players like Matthew Stafford and analyze the potential of Caleb Williams. Sean expresses caution about Brock Purdy and Travion Henderson, while emphasizing the value of Dalton Schultz. The duo also debates various player props and their implications for the postseason.
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INSIGHT

Stafford Has Upside, But Monitor Injuries

  • Matthew Stafford's matchup is favorable thanks to a weak Bears pass rush and returning weapons, despite a finger sprain and cold weather risks.
  • Monitor his practice reports, because weather and the injury could limit his upside despite a clean pocket.
INSIGHT

Caleb Williams' Home Edge And Upside

  • Caleb Williams posts markedly better home splits with higher yards and touchdown rates, and his rushing upside boosts fantasy value.
  • His long-term trajectory looks strong and could push him into top-8 QB conversations for future ADP.
ADVICE

Bet Allen To Run More In Playoffs

  • Take the over on Josh Allen rush attempts around 7.5 because he runs more in postseason scripts and will keep using his legs despite injuries.
  • Expect design runs to roughly double in Brady-coordinated playoff games, raising Allen's rush attempt floor.
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