

How long will the Israel-Hamas ceasefire hold?
Jan 16, 2025
In this lively discussion, Hussein Ibish, a senior resident scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute, analyzes the newly brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. He shares insights on the overwhelming relief from both Israelis and Palestinians, the pivotal role of Donald Trump's pressure on Netanyahu, and the complicated phased nature of the agreement. Ibish warns of the fragility of the peace and the significant challenges in rebuilding Gaza, emphasizing how key players must commit to avoiding further conflict for lasting harmony.
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Mutual Relief
- There is palpable relief on both sides after the ceasefire agreement.
- Israelis anticipate the return of hostages, while Palestinians hope for aid and a reprieve from violence.
Trump's Influence
- A similar deal has been considered since November 2023, but Trump's pressure influenced Netanyahu.
- Netanyahu faced pressure from the public and military due to ongoing casualties.
Phase One
- The first phase involves releasing prisoners and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, except for a northern buffer zone.
- The withdrawal includes areas like Netzarim and Philadelphia Corridors.