Bloomberg Talks

Jeffrey Schmid Talks Inflation Concerns, Fed Independence

Aug 21, 2025
Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, dives into current inflation concerns and defines monetary policy as 'moderately restrictive.' He discusses the critical challenges to Fed independence, especially following political pressures like calls for a governor's resignation. In an engaging conversation, Schmid highlights the importance of adaptability in monetary policy post-pandemic and emphasizes clear communication about the Fed’s dual mandate of employment and price stability. The dialogue balances serious economic insights with a sprinkle of sports predictions.
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INSIGHT

Inflation Biased Above Target

  • Jeffrey Schmid sees inflation trending closer to 3% than 2% based on recent data and district contacts.
  • He believes business sentiment cooled then rebounded as firms adapted to policy and supply changes.
INSIGHT

Business Agility From Supply Shocks

  • Firms became more agile after 2022–23 supply shocks by building plan B and C sourcing strategies.
  • Schmid expects that agility to help businesses navigate upcoming quarters without large disruptions.
INSIGHT

Harder Choices Near The Mandate Sweet Spot

  • The FOMC faces tougher marginal decisions as policy moves closer to dual-mandate optimums.
  • Schmid describes current policy as modestly restrictive while seeking what activity it's inhibiting.
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