107. Rachel Reeves: “We Don’t Need To Come Back And Ask For More”
Nov 1, 2024
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Rachel Reeves, the first female Chancellor of the Exchequer in 800 years, shares insights on her groundbreaking budget and economic strategies. She emphasizes her commitment to not seeking further tax increases in the future. The conversation delves into essential infrastructure investments and the significance of funding for the NHS and education, aiming to enhance living standards. Reeves also tackles the economic uncertainty facing businesses, advocating for clear communication and effective decision-making amidst fiscal constraints.
The chancellor is prioritizing a significant increase in capital spending to stimulate private sector growth through enhanced infrastructure investment.
By addressing the fiscal gap left by the previous government, the new budget focuses on sustainable spending and structural reforms rather than continued increases in department allocations.
Deep dives
Planning for Ambitious Capital Spending
The chancellor has outlined an ambitious plan for capital spending, aiming for the longest sustained increase since the early 1980s. This decision stems from the insights of influential figures like Mark Carney and Gus O'Donnell, who highlighted the need for better investment in infrastructure to stimulate private sector growth. The chancellor inherited a declining trajectory for capital spending, dropping from 2.6% to 1.7% of GDP, which was already low by international standards. By shifting the focus to net financial debt calculations, the government intends to facilitate prudent investments that enhance economic growth.
Addressing the Inherited Fiscal Gap
The previous government's lack of transparent budgeting led to a significant fiscal gap of £22 billion, forcing the chancellor to inject capital immediately to stabilize public finances. This front-loading of spending is necessary to ensure that existing commitments are properly funded, rather than allowing programs to continue without support. The chancellor's approach involves rectifying the financial baseline inherited, indicating that much of the immediate spending is simply to fill this gap rather than contribute additional investment. By establishing a more honest baseline, the government aims to move forward with sustainable spending strategies throughout the parliamentary term.
A Focus on Growth and Reform
While committed to current spending levels, the chancellor emphasizes the need for structural reforms to stimulate economic growth, rather than continual budget increases. Plans are in place for significant changes in planning regulations to enhance building permits and increase investments from pension funds into productive ventures. Although the chancellor acknowledges the limitations set by the Office for Budget Responsibility's growth forecasts, she believes that meeting the challenge of enhancing productivity rests with individual cabinet ministers. The focus now is on achieving tangible results, with the expectation that successful projects will lay the groundwork for future reforms and economic stability.
Robert and Steph hear from the Chancellor about how she shaped her history-making budget, why she won’t be coming back for much more tax in future budgets, why the IFS is wrong to say she’ll have to top up departmental resources in the coming spending review and what she has to say to the business owners who will bear the brunt of the tax raises.