Too-High Cost Of Living Is Destroying Consumer Confidence | Joanne Hsu
Jun 25, 2024
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Expert Joanne Hsu discusses the impact of high living costs on consumer confidence. Despite positive economic indicators, Americans are struggling to afford a middle-class lifestyle. The UMich data reveals growing despair and the widening wealth gap. The podcast highlights challenges post-COVID and the disconnect between labor market data and consumer perceptions.
Consumers feel financial despair due to surging post-COVID living costs, hindering their pursuit of the American dream.
Discrepancies exist between official labor market reports and consumer experiences, raising concerns about future income growth and inflation.
Transition to web interviews in consumer sentiment surveys improved data collection integrity, highlighting economic inequalities and the impact of post-pandemic inflation.
Deep dives
Sentiment of Consumers on Financial Prosperity
Consumers do not feel like they are thriving despite positive labor market indicators and GDP growth. Historical data shows sentiment is below average, but still higher than the trough of 2022. Expectations trajectory remains uncertain with recent fluctuations indicating possible bumpy times ahead.
Challenges with Trustworthiness of Labor Data
Concerns raised about the trustworthiness of labor data despite reports of strong markets. Discrepancies exist between official labor market statements and anecdotal evidence of hiring freezes and job market challenges. Consumers express positive views on unemployment trajectories but also note concerns about future income growth and inflation impact.
Evolution of Consumer Sentiment Survey Methodology
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment survey transitioned from phone to web interviews for data collection. Extensive research confirmed high time series correlations and preserved data integrity with the web-based approach. Advantages of web interviews include targeting specific populations, increasing sample size, and providing visual aids for enhanced data collection.
Impact of Economic Disparities and Consumer Behavior
Economic inequalities are evident, with sentiments reflecting unequal income and wealth distribution. Post-pandemic inflation exacerbated these disparities, leading to diverging sentiment trends across income groups. High asset market prices benefit the affluent, while middle and lower-income groups struggle with high prices and limited asset ownership.
Policy Considerations for Addressing Wealth Inequality
Addressing high costs of higher education and childcare crisis are crucial policy areas to reduce wealth inequality. Rising inflation and interest rates challenge consumer financial prospects, leading to increased reliance on credit. Policy interventions targeting financial aspirations and spending habits can mitigate the impact of economic disparities on consumer behavior.
If you listen to the politicians and the headlines, you'll hear a lot of talk about the "strong consumer" who is keeping the economy happily chugging along.
But when we hear from actual consumers themselves, we hear a very different story. The majority of households are struggling under the surge in their cost of living post-COVID. Many express despair that the American dream is now beyond their reach.
For a detailed dive into this critical topic, we're fortunate today to speak with Joanne Hsu, director of the widely-followed University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey.
The UMich data indeed shows that a growing majority of Americans are giving up hope they'll ever be able to afford a middle class lifestyle.
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
#consumersentiment #consumerconfidence #costofliving
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