Short Wave Nature Quest: The Earthquake Prediction Problem
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Nov 25, 2025 Explore the mysteries of earthquake prediction as hosts delve into the notorious 'Big One' expected on the West Coast. Learn about geologic clues from ghost forests and marsh cores that reveal past quakes and their impacts. Discover how scientists connect a 1700 tsunami to a Cascadia megathrust and why predicting exact timing remains elusive. A fun turkey thermometer metaphor illustrates the uncertainty in seismic cycles. Plus, find out how early warning systems can offer crucial seconds to prepare for earthquakes.
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Big Uncertainty Around 'The Big One'
- Cascadia's looming
1700 'Orphan Tsunami' Linked To Cascadia
- Japanese records of a 1700
Average Repeat Times Can Be Misleading
- Earthquakes cluster irregularly so averages mislead.