Alec Russell, FT's foreign editor, discusses the sell-off in US government debt, Arm's listing frenzy among tech startups, and the emergence of a new geopolitical order amid tensions between the US and China.
The increase in US Treasury yields, driven by market sentiment rather than fundamentals, is causing a bond sell-off.
Arm's blockbuster IPO filing has generated excitement about a potential revival of the tech startup IPO market.
Deep dives
Bond Sell-off and Rise in Yields
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury hit 4.35%, the highest level since 2007. This increase in yields has led to a bond sell-off, which is mainly driven by market sentiment rather than fundamental factors. The divergence between the stock market and the Treasury market can be attributed to different factors, with the stock market focusing on upcoming NVIDIA earnings and the Treasury market looking towards the Jackson Hole Symposium for key insights on interest rates and yields.
Arm IPO and Tech Startup IPO Market
Arm's blockbuster IPO filing has sparked interest and speculation about the revival of the tech startup IPO market. As the IPO market has been relatively closed over the past 18 months, the success of the Arm listing, which could be valued at $50 to $70 billion, could signal a potential reopening for other tech companies. However, it is important to note that Arm is a unique case and has different fundamentals compared to other tech startups. The success of the Arm IPO may create a window of opportunity for other desperate tech companies in need of capital, but the overall stability of the IPO market may still be uncertain.
The sell-off in US government debt continued to hit the world’s largest bond market on Monday, and Silicon Valley start-ups are wondering whether Arm’s listing will reignite the IPO market. Plus, the FT’s foreign editor, Alec Russell, explains why a new geopolitical order is emerging.
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