The Value Perspective The Value Perspective with Annie Duke
The Value Perspective team sit down with former professional poker player and author of Thinking Bets, Annie Duke to discuss probabilistic thinking, base rates, and outcome focus thinking.
RUNNING ORDER:
01:26 Why thinking probabilistically is helpful in decision making
03:30 How do we scale probabilistic thinking in line with more complex situations?
08:30 Working with incomplete information
10:46 How to utilise reference classes to sharpen your probabilistic thinking
13:30 Using outside perspectives to test your thinking
19:00 What is tilt and how do we overcome it?
31:23 How are you focusing on decision quality?
41:57 Working with longer time frames when assessing decisions
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