Bloomberg Surveillance Bloomberg Surveillance TV: April 16, 2025
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Apr 16, 2025 Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, shares her insights on equity markets amidst tariff uncertainties. Rick Rieder from BlackRock warns of troubling signs from the bond market that investors should monitor. Eric Cantor discusses how President Trump's policies will shape economic direction in Washington. Meanwhile, United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby highlights the state of the airline industry, navigating challenges from geopolitical tensions and shifting consumer habits.
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Tariff Pause Removes Market Risk
- The 90-day tariff pause removes worst-case market risk but prolongs uncertainty damage to the real economy.
- Equity markets may rally from rock-bottom sentiment, but confidence needs clarity on deal outlines to reduce risk.
Buy Signal at Market Bottom
- When markets fall 20% and the VIX hits 60, consider deploying capital as downside is limited.
- Watch for financial contagion risks, which could worsen the market beyond policy-induced sell-offs.
Shift in Bond Market Liquidity
- U.S. Treasury market liquidity has become challenging amid uncertainty and international selling pressures.
- European rates markets appear more attractive due to ECB easing and have been gaining international investor interest.