The Macro Trading Floor
Macro Opportunities Around The World
Feb 29, 2024
Discussion on macro opportunities around the world, including outlook for US economy and bond market adjustments. Trade ideas in Canada, Europe, New Zealand, and China. Insights on Fed actions, central bank policies, and market dynamics. Unique trading strategies and trade sizing strategies discussed.
36:31
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Quick takeaways
- Expect Canadian yields to decrease due to Bank of Canada's decision, following New Zealand's example.
- Propose a trade idea of going long on USD against Brazilian Real, anticipating carry trade unwinding.
Deep dives
Trade Idea - Canadian Yields Lower
Expecting Canadian yields to decrease due to the Bank of Canada's upcoming decision, following the example set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Factors such as underwhelming GDP, high levels of leverage, and low inflation in Canada support this trade idea. Anticipating that global yields might stabilize, leading to yen appreciation, hence the preference for the Canadian dollar weakening against the yen.
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