The Jacob Shapiro Podcast Israel Strikes Iran P2: Analyst Kamran Bokhari
Jun 13, 2025
Kamran Bokhari, a Middle East analyst with a deep understanding of Iranian politics, joins the conversation to dissect Israel's military strikes on Iran. He highlights the strategic implications of targeting IRGC leadership and discusses the potential instability of Tehran. Bokhari introduces the idea of 'evolutionary regime change,' exploring possible scenarios from internal coups to regional shifts. The discussion also delves into the nuances of U.S. responses and the varying reactions from Middle Eastern nations, providing insight into a high-stakes geopolitical landscape.
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Israel's Evolutionary Regime Strategy
- Israel targets IRGC leaders to induce behavioral change without full regime collapse.
- This approach aims for evolutionary regime change, creating internal struggles and shifting power centers.
No Gain in Killing Khamenei
- Assassinating Khamenei could escalate conflict with unclear benefits.
- Israel and the US likely avoid this to prevent further instability in Iran.
Power Vacuum if Khamenei Dies
- Khamenei's death would trigger an interim leadership council and potential coup.
- Military and regime elites would compete for control amid high instability.