Topics discussed in the podcast include the avoidance of nuclear war, ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Sudan, challenges faced in repealing certain laws, and the UK policy of deporting unauthorized migrants to Rwanda and its implications for the Good Friday Agreement.
Avoiding nuclear war is a significant positive in 2023 given the increasing nuclear aspirations and the number of nuclear weapons in the world.
The United States successfully avoiding default on its debt until after the 2024 presidential elections emphasizes the need for long-term solutions to address the debt limit issue.
Protests in Africa, particularly in Ghana, against IMF conditionalities and high interest rates highlight the challenges faced by African nations and the failure of democracy to improve living standards.
The lack of significant progress in the war in Ukraine raises concerns about Western solidarity, puts pressure on Ukraine, and showcases the complexities of negotiations and competing political interests.
Deep dives
No Nuclear War in 2023
One of the main highlights of 2023 was the absence of nuclear war. Despite ongoing conflicts such as the war in Ukraine and the Hamas attack on Israel, the world did not experience nuclear escalation. This is an important positive considering the large number of nuclear weapons in the world and the growing aspirations of nuclear powers. It serves as a reminder to appreciate the significance of avoiding nuclear conflict.
US Avoided Defaulting on Debt
Another positive development in 2023 was that the United States did not default on its debt. While it may not immediately seem like a cause for celebration, avoiding default is crucial for economic stability. The fact that the US managed to navigate the debt limit and strike a deal to postpone any potential crisis until after the 2024 presidential elections is noteworthy. However, it is also a reminder that the issue of the debt limit persists and requires long-term solutions.
Protests in Africa against IMF Conditionalities
In Africa, protests erupted in response to IMF conditionalities and the effects of high interest rates, particularly in Ghana. These demonstrations expressed frustration with austerity policies and the failure of democracy to improve living standards. The protests, symbolized by the hashtag #AkiPajalorbiHouse, highlight the challenges faced by African nations, especially in the context of domestic debt crises and rising prices for basic commodities like bread. The upcoming 2024 elections in Ghana are expected to further spotlight these issues.
No Breakthrough in the War in Ukraine
Despite hopes for a breakthrough, the war in Ukraine did not see any significant progress in 2023. While front lines remained relatively static, it is important to recognize that conflicts are not solely defined by territorial gains or losses. Lessons are learned, and adversaries probe each other's capabilities and resolve. The lack of a breakthrough weakens Western solidarity and puts pressure on Ukraine, as it remains heavily dependent on US military support amid ongoing challenges from Russia. The complexities of negotiations and competing political interests make progress in the conflict difficult.
US AUMF Still in Effect
One notable development in 2023 is that the United States has not repealed the 2001 Authorization for the Use of Military Force (AUMF) that grants the president significant leeway in using force to combat terrorism. Despite widespread recognition of the need for reform, the political dynamics and inertia surrounding the issue hinder progress. While this absence of action may be beneficial in the short term, ensuring unchecked presidential power, it raises concerns about future military engagements and the need for congressional oversight.
European Union Stability and China-Taiwan Tensions
In some positive news, no country in the European Union has currently shown any intention to leave the union. This stability is noteworthy given the history of discussions and concerns about various countries potentially leaving the EU. Additionally, tensions between China and Taiwan have not escalated into conflict, signifying a calmer period despite ongoing disputes. While internal political violence in China remains a concern, the absence of external conflicts suggests a more restrained approach from China in comparison to other countries.
Rwanda Deal for Unauthorized UK Migrants Still Not Executed
The policy proposed by the UK to send unauthorized migrants to Rwanda has not yet been implemented. This represents a positive outcome for advocates of refugee rights who have fought against this policy. The concerns surrounding deportation from Rwanda to potential home countries where harm is likely to follow remains, and efforts to challenge and prevent this policy continue. The unresolved state of this policy provides hope for further advocacy and resistance against harmful migration practices.
Hear editors Erik Voeten, Elizabeth N. Saunders, and Kim Yi Dionne's conversation about some of what didn't happen in world politics (but could have) in 2023. Topics include (avoiding) nuclear war, (not ending) conflicts in Ukraine and Sudan, and (not) deporting asylum seekers to Rwanda, among others.
Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts
Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.
