The President's Daily Brief November 14th, 2025: Why Iran is One Spark Away From Chaos & Russia’s Oil Bottleneck
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Nov 14, 2025 Iran is facing intense turmoil as political repression, public protests, and a severe water crisis collide, pushing the regime to a critical point. A shocking third of Russia's seaborne oil is stuck due to U.S. sanctions, crippling its revenues. Additionally, the U.S. is targeting networks supplying parts for Iran's Shahed drones, revealing surprising links to Ukraine. In a rare moment of cooperation, China agrees to tighten controls on fentanyl precursors amid America's ongoing opioid crisis.
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Three Forces Making Iran Volatile
- Iran faces a combustible mix of political executions, public defiance, and a severe water crisis that reinforce one another.
- The feedback loop of repression, resistance, and household-level water shortages creates unprecedented internal volatility for the regime.
Escalating Political Repression
- Iran is carrying out political executions at the fastest pace since 1989, averaging about four per day this year.
- New laws expand the death penalty, accelerate trials, and criminalize online posts labeled as false information.
Bold Metro Flag Protest In Tehran
- Two men in military uniforms raised the pre-revolutionary lion-and-sun flag inside a central Tehran metro station, declaring war on the regime.
- Commuters watched frozen while metro police later arrested the men, showing bold public defiance in the capital.