The Big Story Why is Poilievre losing his stronghold on Canadians?
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Apr 1, 2025 David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, shares keen insights on the shifting political landscape in Canada. He discusses Pierre Poilievre's faltering campaign and how new rivalries are reshaping voter priorities. With the influence of Donald Trump and the rising importance of affordability, Coletto emphasizes the urgency for the Conservative Party to realign its message. The unpredictability of voter engagement, alongside key upcoming events like leaders' debates, could significantly alter public perception as the election nears.
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Changed Political Landscape
- The Conservatives face a challenging political landscape due to unforeseen events.
- These include Trudeau's resignation, Trump's actions, and Carney's emergence.
The Trump Trap
- Focusing on Trump is a trap for Conservatives: Carney is seen as better equipped to handle him, and some Conservative supporters like Trump.
- Conservatives need a strategy that maximizes their chances, given the changed environment.
Generational Divide on Trump
- Older Canadians are more engaged with the Trump issue, potentially due to media consumption and feeling betrayed. Younger Canadians prioritize cost of living, housing, and job security.
- This generational divide has flipped typical voting patterns, with older Canadians leaning towards Liberals.