

A Possible Iran-Israel Ceasefire and Why China is Watching the War Closely
Jun 24, 2025
A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran faces immediate tests amid ongoing hostilities. Political reactions are scrutinized, emphasizing the precarious nature of diplomatic efforts. Meanwhile, China's keen interest in the situation stems from its reliance on Iranian oil, with unique transportation strategies to bypass U.S. sanctions. The podcast also unpacks the complex web of geopolitical tensions, highlighting the perspectives of Gulf Arab states in the wake of military actions and humanitarian crises.
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Early Ceasefire Violations
- Israel initially violated the ceasefire by striking Iranian targets between the announcement and its start.
- Iran responded by launching missiles that killed four in southern Israel, escalating early tensions.
Back-Channel Efforts Mitigate Conflict
- Back-channel diplomacy was active among Middle Eastern leaders trying to de-escalate tensions.
- Iran warned ahead of missile strikes to reduce fallout, showing complex behind-the-scenes negotiations.
Divergent Gulf Perspectives
- Gulf Arab states have mixed views: some see Iran's weakening as stabilizing.
- Others warn Israel's actions and ambitions may destabilize the region further.