Crypto Banter I Can’t Be Bullish On Crypto Anymore.
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Jan 22, 2026 Bitcoin has hit a critical low, breaking key support levels amid a broader market decline. The discussion explores the implications of the death cross and parallels to previous bear markets. Insights reveal how stocks, commodities, and global risks interplay with Bitcoin’s fate. The emergence of Japanese bond yield spikes is identified as a catalyst for current market turbulence. Additionally, the potential threat of quantum computing on Bitcoin serves as a thought-provoking existential concern. Is there a bullish comeback on the horizon?
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Bullish Structure Has Broken
- Ran Neuner warns the uptrend from November broke after Bitcoin fell below ~89,600 and hit ~87,285, changing structure from bullish to bearish.
- The breakdown converts a potential ascending triangle into a bear-flag, opening targets as low as $80k–$70k or lower in extreme scenarios.
Death Cross Mirrors Prior Bear Markets
- Ran highlights a 21-week / 50-week death cross mirroring 2017 and 2021 that historically ushered in formal bear markets.
- He notes that this technical event increases downside risk, including scenarios down to ~$37,500 if fractals replay.
Watch The 2021 Fractal Playbook
- Ran compares the current price action to the 2021 fractal where a mid-cycle 50% drop preceded further severe losses after a liquidity-sucking range.
- He warns that a similar 'suck up liquidity then dump' pattern could take Bitcoin from current levels to $57k and then to $37k.