
 The Compound and Friends
 The Compound and Friends Congress Trades During Tariff Announcement, Oil Market Reaction to Israel vs Iran, OpenAI vs MSFT
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 Jun 17, 2025  Dive into the intriguing impact of Middle Eastern conflicts on oil prices and the controversial world of congressional stock trading. Discover how tech giants like NVIDIA and Microsoft shape market sentiments amid geopolitical noise. The conversation flows into the rising importance of cryptocurrency, especially with Grayscale's influence. Plus, explore the latest developments in AI stock trading, OpenAI's transition to a for-profit model, and Amazon's underestimated growth potential. It's a rollercoaster of insights you won't want to miss! 
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Oil Market's Muted Conflict Reaction
- The oil market showed little reaction to Middle East conflicts unlike in past decades.
- This reflects changed energy dynamics and reduced U.S. dependency on foreign oil imports.
Markets Discount Geopolitical Risks Fast
- Energy stocks and oil prices barely moved despite ongoing Middle East tensions.
- Markets appear to have fully discounted geopolitical risk, focusing instead on longer-term fundamentals.
Investor Sentiment Is Noisy
- Investor sentiment data is mixed and confusing across different surveys and platforms.
- Different investor types behave inconsistently, making broad sentiment readings unreliable.


