Bell Curve

Introducing The Token Transparency Framework | Empire

Jun 18, 2025
Dan Smith, Head of Data at Blockworks, Felipe Montealegre, CIO of Theia Research, and Louis T, Investment Partner at L1D, unveil the groundbreaking Token Transparency Framework. They tackle the challenges of transparency in the crypto market, drawing parallels to the lemon market phenomenon. The discussion includes token risk versus equity risk, structural issues within the token space, and the impact of recent market trends on valuations. The guests emphasize the need for improved disclosure standards to build investor confidence and elevate industry practices.
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INSIGHT

Crypto Token Market as Lemon Market

  • The token market suffers from asymmetric information where buyers cannot distinguish good tokens from bad ones, leading to a "lemon market."
  • This drives high-quality projects away, leaving mostly low-quality tokens, harming the entire ecosystem.
INSIGHT

Token Risk Premium Explains Discounts

  • Tokens have a significantly higher risk premium (20%) compared to equities (5%), reflecting higher inherent risks.
  • This leads to an estimated 80% valuation discount for tokens versus comparable equity investments.
ANECDOTE

Token Owner Rug Pull Example

  • A token project with $40 million cash flow decided to leave its token holders behind by taking IP rights privately.
  • This "rug pull" behavior is common in tokens but unthinkable in regulated equity markets.
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