Novara FM: The Absurdity of Rearmament w/ Khem Rogaly
Mar 11, 2025
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Khem Rogaly, a Senior Research Fellow at Common Wealth and author of 'A Lucas Plan for the 21st Century', discusses Europe's military rearmament amid diminished U.S. support for Ukraine. He examines Germany’s removal of the debt brake and France's push for a European army. Rogaly advocates for redirecting military budgets toward climate action and sustainable practices, challenging the current military-industrial complex. He argues for transitioning to civilian manufacturing focused on renewable energy and emphasizes the need for a collaborative, climate-focused foreign policy.
The shifting dynamics of global military power emphasize Europe's need for self-reliance, leading to increased defense budgets and capabilities.
The podcast highlights the counterproductive nature of military rearmament and advocates for reallocating resources to combat climate change instead.
Khem Rogaly's proposal of a modern 'Lucas Plan' suggests transitioning military funds towards sustainable technology to promote economic growth and social equity.
Deep dives
Shifts in Military Power Dynamics
The podcast discusses a notable shift in military power dynamics, particularly regarding the United States' role and influence. Following tensions with Ukraine's leadership and calls for European allies to take on greater financial responsibility for their own security, the traditional model of American military dominance appears to be changing. A reduction in U.S. intelligence sharing and equipment supplies to Ukraine has prompted European nations, particularly Germany and the UK, to increase their military budgets and rearmament efforts. This raises critical questions about the future of military strategies in Europe and whether modern warfare will prioritize advanced technology, like drones, over conventional war assets such as tanks and aircraft carriers.
Economic Implications of Military Strategy
The conversation outlines the economic implications of the current military strategy, particularly under the prevailing administration. There is a detailed examination of how economic coercion through tariffs and pressure on Allies is used to enforce U.S. dominance globally, notably in relation to China. The administration's actions are portrayed as a shift from conventional hegemony to a dominance strategy, characterized by military might and economic tactics rather than diplomatic leadership. Such a transformation leads to concerns over the long-term sustainability of the American economy and the risks of increasing instability in international relations.
The Case Against Rearmament
One of the key arguments presented is the counterproductive nature of rearming military capabilities in response to perceived threats. Rather than seeking to escalate military spending, the podcast suggests a redirection of resources toward addressing urgent global challenges, particularly climate change. Ken Rogali, a research fellow featured in the episode, advocates for a repurposing of funds used for military enhancement into initiatives that combat climate issues and promote sustainable innovation. This perspective emphasizes a transformation of societal priorities away from militarization toward fostering a more equitable and environmentally conscious future.
The Lucas Plan: A Vision for Industrial Transition
The discussion introduces the historic 'Lucas Plan' as a model for repurposing military resources towards socially beneficial projects. Originally proposed by workers at Lucas Aerospace in the 1970s, the plan envisioned transitioning production capabilities from military goods to essential civilian products like renewable energy technologies. By utilizing existing industrial infrastructure and skilled labor from military production, there is significant potential to meet the demands of a green economy without experiencing disruptions to the workforce. This approach advocates for a systematic reallocation of investment and public funds to support a sustainable future, showcasing how similar initiatives could be implemented today.
Rethinking Global Relationships
The podcast emphasizes the importance of reevaluating international relationships in light of shifting military strategies and ecological challenges. Participants argue for a collaborative approach to global issues that moves away from dominating military power towards partnerships focused on decarbonization and social equity. Addressing the fears surrounding potential threats from nations like Russia and China, the narrative suggests that a cooperative stance could mitigate these concerns by fostering economic interdependence and technological development in renewable sectors. Ultimately, prioritizing a blend of foreign policy reform and sustainable progress could serve to redefine the UK's global role in a more constructive manner.
The US is no longer supporting Ukraine. And, in response, the UK and Europe are rearming. The Germans are taking off their hallowed debt brake to allow it. The French want a European Army. And Keir Starmer is talking tough about the capabilities of the British Armed Forces.
In a world still dominated by the American military, what does it all matter?
And what could we do instead?
Khem Rogaly has the answer. He’s a Senior Research Fellow at Common Wealth and he’s proposed a ‘Lucas Plan for the 21st Century’ that would put the fight against climate change, and not war, at the centre of European economic growth.
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