Historically, an inverted yield curve has often preceded economic recessions, and many investment professionals view the current inversion as a troubling sign for what may lie ahead for the US economy. However, the 10-year US Treasury yield has been lower than the 2-year US Treasury yield for over a year, and a recession has (apparently) not yet begun. In this episode of the ROI podcast, Ryan and Bill Housey discuss:
- Is the inverted US Treasury yield curve a broken signal today or is a recession still coming?
- Are investors too optimistic about “soft landing” (or “no landing”) scenarios for the US economy?
- What’s lies ahead for Fed policy?
- How should investment professionals think about risk and positioning fixed income portfolios for what lies ahead?
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