Are Crypto Bulls Ready to Charge? With Imran Lakha
Oct 24, 2023
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Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, discusses the current state of markets, opportunities in tech, and trader positioning in the options market. Ash Bennington joins to talk about the recent spike in bitcoin. They explore the recent price action of Bitcoin, regulatory developments, differences between crypto and traditional capital markets, options trading strategy, crypto correlation, big tech earnings preview, and bearish sentiment.
Positive positioning in the derivatives market and speculation of an ETF approval from BlackRock drove the recent surge in Bitcoin, but the sell-off indicated potential buying opportunities if the approval eventually happens.
Options activity, technical analysis, call overwriting strategies, and buybacks of short positions contributed to the recent price volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Deep dives
Bitcoin volatility and ETF speculation
Bitcoin has experienced significant price movements recently, reaching as high as $35,000 and experiencing a breakout of 11% in 24 hours. This surge in price was driven by positive positioning in the derivatives market and speculation of an approval for a spot Bitcoin ETF from BlackRock. The market saw a sell-off when it was revealed that the approval was not imminent, indicating that the ETF approval was not fully priced in and there could be potential buying opportunities if it eventually gets approved.
The impact of options activity and technical analysis
Options activity played a significant role in the recent Bitcoin price movements. Option traders piled into buying upside options in anticipation of an ETF approval. Technical analysis also played a role, as the market broke through key technical levels and triggered liquidations of short gamma positions. Additionally, there were call overwriting strategies and buybacks of short positions in Ethereum and Bitcoin, further contributing to the price volatility.
Regulatory developments and momentum in the crypto space
There is a sense of momentum building in the crypto space, partly driven by regulatory developments. Recent legal cases, such as the SEC dropping charges against Ripple executives and missing a filing deadline to oppose a Bitcoin spot ETF, have provided favorable signs for the industry. This positive regulatory outlook, coupled with increased interest from retail investors seeking to understand and invest in cryptocurrencies, is expected to fuel further growth in the space.
Tech earnings and market dynamics
The podcast also touched upon upcoming tech earnings, particularly for megatech companies like Microsoft and Google. The implied moves in options suggested that there could be significant market reactions to these earnings reports. Market breadth indicators were discussed, highlighting concerns about the breadth of the current market rally. The overall sentiment in the market was seen as overly bearish, but potential opportunities were identified for short-volatility structures and trading options on key tech names.
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Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the current state of markets as bond yields begin to stabilize and volatility retreats. Imran will share where he sees opportunities in tech, and what trader positioning in the options market tells him about sentiment and risk appetite. Plus, Ash Bennington will join the show to discuss what's driving the recent spike in bitcoin.You can find more of Imran's work here: https://www.youtube.com/@OptionsInsight
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