

S&P 500 Sets Fresh Record; US-Vietnam Deal Signals New Pressure on Beijing
Jul 3, 2025
Brian Krawez, President at Scharf Investments, chats about the recent rally in U.S. stocks, spurred by a trade deal with Vietnam. He discusses how this agreement could exert new pressures on Beijing and reshape global trade dynamics. The conversation delves into concerns about high market valuations and upcoming jobs data, while addressing the impact of AI on employment opportunities. Krawez also analyzes how this U.S.-Vietnam trade pact might influence relationships with China and affect the broader geopolitical landscape.
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High Valuation Challenges Market
- The S&P 500 reaching record highs is hard to justify due to its valuation in the 95th percentile.
- Despite uncertainty, investors have somewhat forgotten the risks from tariffs and policy uncertainty since April.
Tariffs and Healthcare Impact Inflation
- Tariffs and healthcare costs are key risks affecting inflation and the labor market.
- Rising healthcare costs may drive inflation up even if labor market weakens, complicating Fed decisions.
AI Changing Job Market Anecdote
- Microsoft is cutting 9,000 jobs as it focuses on AI-driven productivity.
- Computer science graduates now face a tougher job market due to AI reducing coding jobs.