What Happens to China After Xi Jinping Dies? || Peter Zeihan
Jul 9, 2024
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Geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan discusses the potential future of China after Xi Jinping's death, exploring succession issues and the challenges of governance in China. Topics include regional diversity, historical contexts, and succession planning amidst financial and demographic issues.
Xi Jinping's extreme power consolidation and elimination of successors could lead to centralized control challenges in China post his reign.
China's diverse regions with distinct identities coupled with lack of clear successor and demographic issues may lead to potential state dissolution after Xi Jinping's rule.
Deep dives
Xi Jinping and the Cult of Personality
Xi Jinping has consolidated power to an extreme degree within China, creating a cult of personality around himself. He has eliminated potential successors and talented individuals from the system, leading to a situation where he stands alone in power and will likely continue in a highly centralized manner. Despite being technically federal, China has become essentially unitary under Xi's control, with all decisions emanating from Beijing, setting the stage for potential challenges after his rule.
Geographical Challenges and Potential State Dissolution
China's diverse geography presents significant challenges to governing the country effectively, with different regions having distinct economic, political, and cultural identities. The North, the central region, and the South represent unique economic units that historically have had varying degrees of autonomy. The potential absence of a clear successor to Xi Jinping coupled with demographic and economic issues could lead to state dissolution after his rule, potentially signaling the end of China as it is known today.
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Future of China post Xi Jinping's Death and Governance Analysis
I get a lot of "what if..." and "what happens next..." style questions and most of them suck, but today's question takes us down a fairly interesting rabbit hole - what happens to China if Chairman Xi Jinping dies or steps down?