Yields on government bonds can tell us how investors think the Federal Reserve will act. In this episode, we break down what falling yields on short-, medium- and long-term Treasuries tell us about where we’re headed. We also explain why people and firms across the economy bet on the Fed’s decision making. Plus: Jobs data paints a blurry picture of the labor market, PG movies dominate box office sales, and AI toys make their way to kids’ Christmas lists.

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Will Mag-7 earnings interrupt our Paradigm C party? Will the US Treasury’s debt issuance plans interrupt our Paradigm C party?