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80,000 Hours Podcast

#192 – Annie Jacobsen on what would happen if North Korea launched a nuclear weapon at the US

Jul 12, 2024
Annie Jacobsen, a Pulitzer Prize finalist and bestselling author, dives deep into the unsettling realities of nuclear warfare. She highlights the critical six-minute decision-making window faced by the U.S. President during a nuclear threat. Jacobsen reveals the devastating humanitarian impacts of nuclear strikes and the terrifying potential of electromagnetic pulse attacks on infrastructure. Drawing from her extensive interviews with experts, she emphasizes the stark need for transparency and effective communication among nuclear powers to avert disaster.
01:54:24

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The catastrophic effects of a nuclear attack extend far beyond the explosion radius, causing widespread death and devastation.
  • The short window for the US president to decide on nuclear retaliation underscores the urgency for reforming trigger-alert postures.

Deep dives

US ICBM Minuteman Missiles Falling Short for Targeting

US ICBM Minuteman missiles lack the range to target North Korea without passing over Russia, a fact confirmed by former Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta. Russian early warning systems are flawed, increasing the risk of misinterpretation. This lack of precision poses a major problem, potentially leading to catastrophic misunderstandings.

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