SXSW Sessions The Singularity Is Nearer with Ray Kurzweil
Jul 1, 2024
Futurist Ray Kurzweil predicts AI surpassing human intelligence by 2030s, connecting brains to the cloud by 2045. Discusses advancements in AI, large language models, AGI, human brain parallels, longevity, brain-machine interfaces, and ethical dilemmas in technology. Emphasizes the importance of trust in AI and human skills in a future with advanced technology.
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AI Progress Ahead of Predictions
- Large language models have arrived ahead of the 2029 AI milestone prediction by about 1-2 years.
- This reflects the exponential growth of computing power enabling earlier-than-expected AI breakthroughs.
Exponential Compute Growth Powers AI
- Computing power has grown exponentially over the last 80 years and drives technology leaps.
- Current AI advancements depend on this steady doubling of compute roughly every 1.4 years.
Connections Key to AI Brain-Likeness
- Large language models approximate brain processing by having a vast number of connections.
- GPT-4's 400 billion connections approach the brain's trillion connections, enabling brain-like performance.