Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar 11/1/22: Midterm Polls, Ukraine Aid, Affirmative Action, Pelosi Attack, Elon's Twitter Plans, CNN Decline, & More!
Nov 1, 2022
Vinay Prasad, a professor at UCSF and author known for his insights on medicine and epidemiology, dives into pressing issues. He analyzes midterm poll dynamics, contemplating the implications of Ukraine aid on U.S. politics. Discussions on the complexities of affirmative action reveal its impact on education. The conversation addresses the alarming rise in political violence, highlighted by the Pelosi attack. Prasad also critiques the decline of cable news, questioning Twitter's future under Elon Musk and the government’s vaccine rollout strategies.
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Midterm Polls
- Democrats have favorable Senate race numbers according to the New York Times.
- However, the Times had similarly favorable numbers for Democrats in 2020 that didn't pan out.
2020 Poll Inaccuracy
- The 2020 NYT/Siena poll significantly overestimated Democratic support in key states.
- Applying similar error margins to the current poll could suggest a Republican advantage.
Arizona Exception
- Mark Kelly's lead in Arizona may be due to social/cultural issues outweighing economic concerns there.
- He's the only Democrat winning with non-college-educated voters.