
PREVIEW: Realpolitik #29 | The Syrian Crisis with Kevork Almassian
Jan 12, 2026
In this discussion, Kevork Almassian, a Syrian-Armenian commentator from Aleppo, shares his unique insights on the Syrian crisis. He dives into the delicate balance of local autonomy in regions like Suweda and Kurdish areas. Kevork addresses the disarming of Alawite soldiers and the subsequent violence they faced. He highlights the pervasive risks in Syria today, including repression and economic struggles among Alawites. The talk also unpacks Israel's involvement and Qatar's role in radicalizing the conflict, painting a complex picture of the region's dynamics.
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Armed Groups Shaped Local Control
- Druze and Kurds maintained de facto autonomy after the regime change because they retained weapons and local militias.
- Alawites suffered heavily because many surrendered weapons to the new regime and lacked local militias to defend themselves.
Disarmament Left Alawites Vulnerable
- Alawites who handed over weapons were subsequently targeted and faced humiliating violence by jihadist forces.
- Kevork links large-scale massacres of Alawites to that disarmament and lack of protection.
Don't Expect External Arms Without Political Shift
- Avoid expecting external powers to arm Alawites without political realignment toward Western or Israeli interests.
- Kevork argues foreign backers require clear shifts in Alawite leadership before providing tangible military support.
