Climbing Gold

Risk Roundup

Jul 15, 2022
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INSIGHT

One Life Limits Risk Scaling

  • Life or death risks do not scale well because you only have one life to lose.
  • Seeing risk multiplied across many people reveals how close one is to the edge.
ADVICE

Balance Risks With Barbell Approach

  • Use the 'barbell approach' to risk: balance very safe activities with a small portion of high-risk.
  • Choose high-risk actions consciously while keeping most of life stable and low risk.
INSIGHT

Complex Terrain Breaks Risk Math

  • Risk equations fail in complex terrain because calculating accurate probabilities is nearly impossible.
  • Many unpredictable natural events interact chaotically, making risk assessment highly uncertain.
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