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Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

A "Disappointing" Year Ahead For Investors? | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart

Jan 4, 2025
Lance Roberts, a seasoned portfolio manager, shares his sharp insights on potential market performance in the coming year. He warns against complacency, highlighting the unlikelihood of repeating past 20% returns. The discussion delves into how domestic issues and political events, especially around Inauguration Day, could impact market dynamics. Also covered are technical indicators, current sector performance struggles, and the importance of stock selection amid rising volatility. Roberts emphasizes that careful, active management strategies are essential for navigating the uncertain landscape ahead.
01:23:59

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Entering 2025 with high expectations for strong returns may lead to disappointment, as historical patterns signal more modest gains ahead.
  • The complex interplay of external factors, such as geopolitical tensions, requires investors to understand market mechanics beyond mere headlines.

Deep dives

Expectations for 2025 Returns

Entering 2025 with high expectations for continued strong market returns may be misguided, especially after the recent years of 20% gains. There's a considerable risk of disappointment if investors are banking on similar results this year. Historical patterns suggest that a failed Santa Claus rally or negative early trading days often correlate with underwhelming yearly returns. Expecting only 8% to 10% returns may be more realistic given current market dynamics and a potential increase in volatility.

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