Autumn statement: the government hunts growth – Politics Weekly UK
Nov 22, 2023
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Jeremy Hunt, former Treasury minister, joins John Harris and Pippa Crerar to discuss tax cuts, getting people back to work, and the challenges the government faces. They also touch on the impact of the benefits system on the unemployed, the political debate on economic growth, and the government's failure to invest in infrastructure.
Despite promises of tax cuts and growth, the reality for most people is struggling with the cost of living and stagnant economic growth.
The UK economy faces challenges such as low productivity, lack of investment, and political turbulence, requiring government-led investment to stimulate growth.
Deep dives
The Autumn Statement and Economic Growth
The podcast discusses the recent autumn statement and its implications for economic growth. The Chancellor claims that the economy has turned a corner, but the reality is that growth has hit a dead end under the conservative government. Despite claims of sweeping tax cuts and promises of growth, the reality for most people is still struggles with the cost of living and stagnant economic growth. The main focus of the statement was the cut in the main rate of national insurance, which will wait and see if it satisfies the calls for more significant tax cuts. However, the future forecasts of growth are still downgraded and the economy is projected to face tough times with struggles in living standards and high inflation.
Changing Political Landscape and Policy Shifts
The podcast explores the changing political landscape and policy shifts in the government. The return of David Cameron into government as Foreign Secretary has sparked debates about the direction of the Conservative Party and a potential move towards a more centrist position. While some see it as a step in the right direction, others view it as a reward for failure. The government's focus on incentivizing investment and making work pay, such as the cut in business taxes and the extension of the national living wage, indicates a potential shift in priorities. However, there are still concerns about the lack of investment in research and development, infrastructure, and skills, which contribute to the economy's sluggishness.
Challenges in the Economy and Investment
The podcast highlights the challenges in the UK economy, including low productivity, lack of investment, and cultural factors. Sluggish productivity is attributed to the lack of investment in research and development. Companies prioritize maximizing profits and often opt for low-road approaches rather than investing in skills and technology. The focus on short-term profits and cheap labor has hindered long-term growth. Additionally, political turbulence, such as the global financial crisis and Brexit, has further impacted growth and trade intensity. The podcast also emphasizes the need for government-led investment to stimulate the private sector and address infrastructure and skill gaps.
The Case for Economic Growth and Investing in the Future
The podcast emphasizes the importance of economic growth and the need for government intervention to promote investment in the future. Economic growth is crucial to address issues of high taxes, inadequate public services, and poverty. The government's fiscal conservatism and reluctance to borrow for investment hinder the necessary steps to stimulate growth. However, there is an acknowledgement of the distinction between borrowing for day-to-day spending and borrowing for productive investment. The podcast suggests that a shift in government spending towards useful investment and a focus on long-term prospects could help address the challenges of the economy and secure economic growth.
Jeremy Hunt’s much anticipated autumn statement promised tax cuts and getting people back to work. John Harris is joined by the Guardian’s political editor, Pippa Crerar, and the former Treasury minister David Gauke, to assess what we heard Autumn statement 2023: key points at a glance OBR warns government finances face major headwinds until 2028. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/politicspod
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