Alex Morris on Buffett and Munger Unscripted, $MSFT, $META, $GOOG, $AAPL Big Tech Cap Ex | S07 E04

18 snips

Feb 3, 2025

In this discussion, Alex Morris, author of "Buffett and Munger Unscripted," shares his insights into the investment strategies of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. He explores the evolution of value investing literature and the significance of capital allocation. The conversation delves into the shift in tech companies' capital expenditures, especially around AI, and highlights Berkshire Hathaway's unique approach to capital allocation. Additionally, Morris discusses trends in the alcohol industry, emphasizing changing consumer behaviors and investment dynamics.

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ANECDOTE

PetroChina Investment

Buffett's PetroChina investment was initially seen as shocking, shifting from compounders to a commodity play.
Similar to Occidental Petroleum, it was cheap with improved capital allocation, paying out dividends and buying back stock.

INSIGHT

Apple Trade

Apple was a great trade due to Buffett's and Apple's fame, large capital deployment, and a shift in Apple's capital return strategy.
The buyback combined with product cycle timing led to significant gains, despite declining returns on invested capital.

INSIGHT

Tech CapEx and AI

Significant CapEx changes in megacap tech, potentially for AI chips, create new risks and impact business quality.
Microsoft's approach seems more strategic with OpenAI, focusing on value-add monetization like Copilot in 365.

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Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. See our latest episodes at https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. About Jake Jake's Twitter: https://twitter.com/farnamjake1 Jake's book: The Rebel Allocator https://amzn.to/2sgip3l ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I launched The Acquirers Podcast to discuss the process of finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon’s Business and Finance The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World’s Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law. Prior to founding the forerunner to Acquirers Funds in 2010, Tobias was an analyst at an activist hedge fund, general counsel of a company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and a corporate advisory lawyer. As a lawyer specializing in mergers and acquisitions he has advised on transactions across a variety of industries in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Australia, Singapore, Bermuda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and Guam. He is a graduate of the University of Queensland in Australia with degrees in Law (2001) and Business (Management) (1999).