The Ukraine-Russia conflict and the challenges for Ukraine's victory

The Ukraine-Russia conflict is at a critical stage, with the potential for a Putin victory becoming more possible than ever. Winning in this context is about perception, morale, and endurance. Russia has managed to mobilize its industry, ramping up production and consolidating the production of drones and loitering munitions. Ukraine, on the other hand, has not been able to mobilize in the same way, with criticism directed at its leadership. Russia's ability to recruit manpower from the poorest and even prison populations gives them an advantage. Additionally, Russia has garnered support from global allies, while Ukraine's fatigue and internal political struggles weaken its position.